Brazil expects pork price growth: market responds to tighter supply and end of Lent

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After a period of price pressure at the beginning of 2026, Brazil’s pork market is showing signs of recovery: prices are expected to rise in April amid tightening supply and a seasonal increase in demand following the end of Lent.

According to Cepea, citing IBGE data, Brazil’s pork production reached a record 5.65 million tonnes in 2025, up 5.5% year-on-year and marking the highest level since 2022. In the fourth quarter alone, output exceeded 1.4 million tonnes, up 6.4% compared to the same period in 2024.

Despite these high production levels, prices remained under pressure in early 2026 due to increased domestic supply and subdued consumer demand. Strong export growth also played a role, diverting part of the product away from the domestic market.

However, analysts expect a shift in trend as early as April. Slaughter volumes are likely to decline, and if export demand remains strong, domestic availability will tighten. At the same time, the end of Lent — a period that traditionally dampens meat consumption — is expected to support demand.

Together, these factors are likely to drive a recovery in pork prices and contribute to market stabilization in the near term.


PigUA.info based on thepigsite.com

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