The next decade of global pig production

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The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook for 2021-2030 provides insight on global pigmeat production, and consumption for the next ten years.

Pigmeat output is projected to rise 13% to 127 Mt by 2030, up from an ASF-reduced base level in 2018- 2020. The ASF outbreak across Asia will continue to affect many countries in the early years of the outlook period, with China, the Philippines and Viet Nam suffering the greatest impact.

It is projected that ASF outbreaks will continue to keep global pigmeat output below previous peak levels until 2023, after which it is expected to steadily increase over the remainder of the outlook period. This Outlook assumes that pigmeat production in China and Viet Nam will start to increase in 2021 and attain 2017 levels by 2023. Most of the pigmeat production increase in ASF-affected regions will be the result of a shift away from backyard production facilities to commercial production facilities.

Pigmeat production in the European Union is projected to decrease slightly as environmental and public concerns are expected to limit its expansion. Russia, the fourth largest pigmeat producer, has almost doubled output in the last decade in response to import bans and domestic policies to restructure and stimulate production. It is projected to expand production by a further 10% by 2030.


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